How to Use an Economic Calendar
What Is an Economic Calendar and Why It Matters for Serbian Traders
An economic calendar displays upcoming financial events with dates, times, expected values, previous values, and impact levels (low, medium, high). For Serbian traders trading in USD, the most important events are US economic releases because they directly affect USD pairs. The calendar helps you anticipate market reactions — for example, if US CPI comes out higher than expected, the USD may strengthen, and you can plan a long USD trade accordingly.
How to Read an Economic Calendar
Every economic calendar has columns: Date/Time, Currency, Event, Actual, Forecast, Previous, and Impact. The 'Forecast' is what analysts expect, and the 'Actual' is the real number. If Actual differs significantly from Forecast, the market often moves sharply. For Serbian traders, focus on events marked with 'USD' and 'High Impact'. Ignore low-impact events like housing starts unless you trade exotic pairs.
Step-by-Step: Using the Calendar for USD Trades
1. Open your broker's economic calendar or a free version like ForexFactory. 2. Set the filter to 'USD' and 'High Impact' only. 3. Look at the time — adjust for Serbia time zone (CET/CEST). 4. Note the 'Forecast' and 'Previous' values. 5. Decide whether to trade before or after the release. Many Serbian traders avoid trading 30 minutes before and after high-impact news to avoid slippage.
Practical Example: Trading NFP from Serbia
Suppose Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) is scheduled for Friday at 14:30 GMT (which is 15:30 CET winter, 16:30 CEST summer). The forecast is 200K, previous was 180K. If you expect a higher number, you might buy USD before the release. But if the actual comes out at 150K, USD may fall sharply. Always set a stop-loss. Serbian traders often use limit orders to enter after the initial volatility settles.