How to Use an Economic Calendar
What Is an Economic Calendar?
An economic calendar lists upcoming economic indicators such as GDP, employment data, inflation (CPI), interest rate decisions, and trade balances. Each event shows the previous value, forecast, and actual result. For Mozambique traders trading USD pairs, the most important events are US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, US Consumer Price Index (CPI), and US GDP. Also monitor South African events (SARB rate decisions) as South Africa is Mozambique's largest trading partner.
How to Read an Economic Calendar
Each event has three key columns: Previous (the last released value), Forecast (market expectation), and Actual (the real outcome). The difference between forecast and actual causes price movement. High-impact events (marked with red or high volatility icons) can move USD pairs 50-100 pips in minutes. Medium-impact events (yellow) cause moderate moves. Low-impact events (green) are usually ignored by traders. Set your calendar to Central Africa Time (UTC+2) to match Mozambique's time zone.
How to Use the Calendar in Your Trading
First, check the calendar daily for high-impact events during your trading session. For Mozambique, the most active session is the London-New York overlap (2 PM to 6 PM CAT). Before a major event, reduce position sizes or close trades to avoid volatility. After the release, wait 10-15 minutes for the initial spike to settle, then trade the direction of the trend. For example, if US NFP beats forecasts, USD usually strengthens; consider buying USD pairs. Always use stop-losses because reversals are common.
Practical Example for Mozambique Traders
Suppose you see the US Federal Reserve is announcing an interest rate decision at 2:30 PM CAT. You are trading EUR/USD. Before the event, you close your existing trade and wait. The Fed raises rates by 0.25%, above expectations. USD strengthens, EUR/USD drops 80 pips. You enter a sell trade after the spike, set a 30-pip stop-loss and 80-pip take-profit. This disciplined approach helps you profit from volatility while managing risk.