How to Use an Economic Calendar
What Is an Economic Calendar?
An economic calendar lists upcoming economic indicators, such as GDP, employment reports, inflation (CPI), and central bank interest rate decisions. Each event is assigned a date, time, currency, and impact level (low, medium, high). For Turkey traders, the most important events include TCMB interest rate decisions, Turkish CPI, and US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) because USD/TRY is the most traded pair.
How to Filter Events for Turkey
Most calendars let you filter by country or currency. Select 'Turkey' or 'TRY' to see only local events. Also filter by 'High Impact' to focus on events that cause the biggest price swings. For example, a higher-than-expected Turkish CPI often triggers a sharp TRY sell-off. You can also add US events because USD/TRY is heavily influenced by US data.
Understanding the Impact Levels
High-impact events like TCMB rate decisions can move USD/TRY by hundreds of pips. Medium-impact events like Turkish industrial production may cause smaller moves. Low-impact events are often ignored. Experienced traders avoid trading 15 minutes before and after high-impact releases unless they have a specific strategy.
Using the Calendar with Your Trading Platform
Most brokers offer integrated economic calendars in MT4 or MT5. You can also use third-party calendars like Forex Factory or Investing.com. For Turkey traders, it is wise to set alerts for Turkish data releases. When inflation data is released, many Turkish traders switch to USDT or gold as a safe haven until the volatility subsides.
Practical Example: Trading USD/TRY Around CPI
Suppose the Turkish CPI is scheduled for 10:00 AM. The forecast is 50% year-on-year. If the actual figure comes out at 55%, the TRY will likely weaken, pushing USD/TRY higher. A trader using the calendar would have a sell order on TRY or buy USD/TRY in anticipation. Conversely, if CPI is lower than expected, the TRY might strengthen temporarily.