How to Use an Economic Calendar
What is an Economic Calendar?
An economic calendar lists scheduled economic events, indicators, and reports that can affect currency prices. For Singapore traders, this includes SGD-specific events like MAS monetary policy statements, Singapore GDP, CPI, and trade balance figures. Global events like US FOMC meetings, ECB rate decisions, and Australian employment data also impact USD/SGD and other pairs traded in Singapore.
How to Read an Economic Calendar
Each event shows the date, time (usually in GMT or SGT), currency, event name, previous value, forecast, and actual value. The 'impact' column (low, medium, high) indicates potential volatility. For example, a high-impact event like US Non-Farm Payrolls can cause USD/SGD to move 50-100 pips. Singapore traders should focus on high-impact events for their traded pairs.
Step 1: Choose a Reliable Calendar
Popular free calendars include ForexFactory, Investing.com, and DailyFX. For Singapore-specific data, add the MAS official calendar or Bloomberg Terminal (for professionals). Ensure the calendar allows filtering by currency (e.g., SGD) and impact level.
Step 2: Filter for SGD and Major Pairs
Set filters to show only SGD events and major pairs like USD/SGD, EUR/SGD, or AUD/SGD. Also include global events that affect risk sentiment, such as US GDP, Fed rate decisions, and geopolitical news. This reduces noise and focuses on actionable data.
Step 3: Understand the Data
Learn what each indicator means. For example, Singapore CPI measures inflation, which influences MAS policy. A higher-than-expected CPI may strengthen SGD if MAS tightens policy. Similarly, US NFP above forecast often strengthens USD, weakening USD/SGD. Use the calendar's 'previous' and 'forecast' columns to gauge market expectations.
Step 4: Plan Trades Around High-Impact Events
Before a high-impact event, decide whether to trade the breakout or wait for the dust to settle. Many Singapore traders use pending orders (stop or limit) to capture volatility. Alternatively, avoid trading 30 minutes before and after major releases to reduce risk. Always set stop-losses and use proper position sizing.
Step 5: Review Actual vs Forecast
After the event, compare the actual value with the forecast. A big deviation often leads to sharp price moves. For example, if Singapore GDP beats forecasts, SGD may rally. Use this analysis to refine your future trading strategies.