How to Use an Economic Calendar
Understanding the Economic Calendar Layout
An economic calendar displays events by date and time (usually in GMT or your local time zone). Each event shows the currency affected, the expected figure, the previous figure, and the actual result. For example, if US CPI is expected at 0.3% but comes out at 0.5%, the USD may strengthen. As a Sao Tome and Principe trader, you should set your calendar to show events in your local time (UTC+0). Most platforms allow you to filter by currency – select USD to see only relevant events.
How to Interpret the Data
The three key columns are: Previous, Forecast, and Actual. If Actual > Forecast, the currency often strengthens (if the indicator is positive like GDP). If Actual < Forecast, the currency may weaken. For example, a higher US retail sales figure suggests a strong economy, which could push USD higher against other pairs. But remember – sometimes markets react to the deviation from forecast, not just the absolute number.
Using the Calendar for Trade Planning
Do not trade blindly during news events. Instead, use the calendar to prepare. For instance, if you see a high-impact event like the FOMC rate decision on Thursday, avoid opening new positions 30 minutes before and after the release. Instead, wait for the volatility to settle and then trade the trend. In Sao Tome and Principe, where internet reliability can vary, it is safer to trade after the initial spike.
Setting Alerts and Filters
Most economic calendars allow you to set alerts. You can receive an email or push notification 15 minutes before an event. This is especially useful if you are not constantly watching the screen. Filter events by importance (high, medium, low) – focus only on high-impact events as a beginner. Advanced traders may also monitor medium-impact events that can cause smaller but predictable moves.