How to Use an Economic Calendar
Understanding the Economic Calendar Layout
An economic calendar typically displays events by date, time, currency, and impact level (low, medium, high). For Omani traders, the most important currency is USD, as most forex pairs traded locally involve the US dollar. High-impact events like Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), Consumer Price Index (CPI), and Federal Reserve meetings cause the largest price swings. Always check the 'Previous', 'Forecast', and 'Actual' columns to gauge market expectations.
How to Interpret Data Releases
When a data release is higher than the forecast, it often strengthens the USD (if the data is US-related). For example, if US CPI comes out higher than expected, USD may rally against other currencies like EUR/USD or GBP/USD. Omani traders should note that oil-related events (e.g., OPEC meetings, US crude inventories) also impact the OMR and can affect pairs like USD/OMR indirectly. Use the calendar to avoid trading 30 minutes before and after high-impact releases unless you have a strategy.
Practical Example for Oman Traders
Suppose you see a high-impact event: 'US Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision' scheduled for 2:00 PM EST (10:00 PM GST). If the rate is increased, USD typically strengthens. You could prepare by setting a pending order to buy USD if the rate hike is confirmed. Alternatively, you might close all positions before the event to avoid sudden spikes. Always adjust the calendar to Muscat time (UTC+4) to match your local hours.