How to Use an Economic Calendar
What is an Economic Calendar?
An economic calendar lists upcoming economic indicators (e.g., GDP, unemployment, inflation) with dates, times, forecast values, and previous results. For Moldova traders, the most relevant events are those affecting the US dollar (USD) and the euro (EUR), as Moldova's economy is closely tied to the EU and US markets. The calendar uses colour-coded icons: red for high impact, orange for medium, and yellow for low. Always focus on red events for significant price swings.
How to Read the Calendar
Each entry shows: time (in your local timezone, e.g., EET), currency (e.g., USD), event name (e.g., 'Non-Farm Payrolls'), forecast, previous, and actual (after release). The 'Forecast' is the market consensus; if the 'Actual' differs by more than 20%, expect a sharp move. For example, if US CPI (forecast 3.0%, actual 3.5%) is released, the USD may strengthen, affecting your USD-denominated trades.
Step-by-Step Usage for Moldova Traders
1. Open a free economic calendar (Forex Factory, Investing.com). 2. Set timezone to 'Chisinau' or 'EET'. 3. Filter by currency pair (e.g., USD, EUR). 4. Identify red events for the next 24 hours. 5. Note the time – avoid trading 30 minutes before and after release unless you have a strategy. 6. After release, compare actual vs forecast. If actual is higher, the currency usually strengthens; if lower, it weakens. 7. Use this information to set pending orders or close existing positions.
Example for Moldova
Suppose the US Federal Reserve announces an interest rate decision at 14:00 EET. The forecast is 5.50%, previous is 5.25%. You expect a 0.25% hike. Before the release, you might buy USD/MDL (if available) or a USD pair like EUR/USD. After the actual release (5.50%), if the market reacts positively, you can take profit. Always use a stop-loss to manage risk.