How to Use an Economic Calendar
What is an Economic Calendar?
An economic calendar lists dates and times of economic indicators, central bank meetings, and political events. Each event is tagged with a country, expected impact (low, medium, high), and previous/forecasted values. For example, a high-impact event like the US Non-Farm Payrolls can cause sharp moves in USD pairs, while Hungarian CPI data affects HUF directly.
Key Features to Understand
When you open a calendar, you see columns for Date, Time, Currency, Event, Actual, Forecast, and Previous. The 'Volatility' column (often shown as colored bells) tells you how much the market might move. Hungary traders should pay attention to events marked with red bells (high impact) for HUF, EUR, and USD pairs.
How to Filter for Hungary
Most calendars allow you to filter by country. Select 'Hungary' or 'HUF' to see only local events like MNB rate decisions, retail sales, or trade balance. You can also filter by 'All' to see global events that affect your favorite pairs. For example, if you trade EUR/USD, filter for Eurozone and US events.
Using the Calendar in Your Trading
Before a high-impact event, many traders reduce position size or set stop-losses wider to avoid being stopped out by sudden spikes. After the release, compare the actual data to the forecast. If the actual is significantly different, the market often trends in that direction. For instance, if Hungarian CPI comes in higher than expected, the HUF may strengthen against the EUR.
Practical Example for Hungary
Suppose the MNB is expected to announce an interest rate decision on Tuesday at 14:00 CET. The forecast is to hold rates at 6.50%. You are trading EUR/HUF. Before the announcement, you might avoid opening new positions. If the MNB surprises with a hike, the HUF could rally, and you could consider selling EUR/HUF. The calendar helps you prepare for such scenarios.