How to Use an Economic Calendar
Understanding the Economic Calendar
An economic calendar displays events with a date, time, currency, event name, previous value, forecast, and actual value. For Guinea-Bissau traders, the most important events are US economic data (like Non-Farm Payrolls, CPI, and FOMC meetings) because USD pairs are the most traded. The calendar also shows a volatility indicator (usually a bell icon or color coding) to signal potential market movement.
How to Read the Calendar
Each row represents an event. The 'Previous' column shows the last release, 'Forecast' is the market expectation, and 'Actual' is the real number when released. If the actual differs significantly from the forecast, the market may move sharply. For example, if US Non-Farm Payrolls are forecast at 200,000 but actual is 300,000, the USD may strengthen. Guinea-Bissau traders should focus on events marked 'High Impact' (red or orange) as they cause the most volatility.
Using the Calendar for Trade Planning
Before trading, check the calendar for high-impact events during your trading session. For Guinea-Bissau, the best times are during the London (8:00-17:00 GMT) and US (13:00-21:00 GMT) sessions. Avoid trading 30 minutes before and after major releases unless you have a strategy. Set alerts on your phone or broker platform to stay updated. Many brokers offer economic calendar integrations, so you can view events directly in MT4 or MT5.
Practical Example
Suppose the US CPI report is due at 13:30 GMT. You see the forecast is 0.4% month-over-month. You decide to wait for the release. If actual is 0.6%, the USD may rally. You can then look for buy opportunities on USD/JPY or USD/CHF. If the actual is lower, you might sell USD. Always use stop-losses because news can cause unpredictable spikes.