How to Use an Economic Calendar
What Is an Economic Calendar?
An economic calendar is a schedule of upcoming economic data releases and central bank events that affect currency values. Each event shows the date, time, currency, forecast, previous value, and actual result. For Ethiopian traders, the most important events are those impacting the US dollar (USD), since most retail forex trading involves USD pairs like EUR/USD or GBP/USD.
How to Read an Economic Calendar
First, identify the event's impact level: low, medium, or high. High-impact events like Non-Farm Payrolls or Federal Reserve rate decisions cause sharp price movements. Second, check the forecast versus previous data — if the actual result differs significantly, expect volatility. Third, note the time in Ethiopian East Africa Time (EAT). For example, US employment data at 8:30 AM ET is 3:30 PM EAT during standard time.
Using the Calendar to Plan Trades
Ethiopian traders should use the calendar to avoid trading during high-impact events unless they have a strategy for news trading. Alternatively, you can set pending orders before major releases to catch breakouts. For example, if the US CPI forecast is 3.0% but actual comes out at 3.5%, the USD may strengthen — you can buy USD pairs if you anticipated this.
Practical Example for Ethiopia
Suppose the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates. If the actual decision is a 0.50% hike versus a 0.25% forecast, the USD may surge. An Ethiopian trader can use the calendar to set a buy stop on USD/JPY before the announcement. However, always use stop-losses because news can reverse quickly.