How to Use an Economic Calendar
What Is an Economic Calendar?
An economic calendar lists scheduled economic releases, central bank meetings, and geopolitical events that affect currency markets. Each event shows a date, time, currency, forecast, previous value, and a volatility indicator (usually bells or stars). For Brunei traders trading in USD, the most important events include US Non-Farm Payrolls (first Friday of every month), Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, US CPI (inflation), and crude oil inventories. Because Brunei is an oil-exporting nation, OPEC meetings and oil price shocks also impact the BND and commodity currencies.
How to Interpret the Calendar
Every event is rated by its expected impact: low, medium, or high. High-impact events cause the biggest price swings. The calendar shows the 'forecast' (what the market expects) and the 'previous' (last release). If the actual number differs significantly from the forecast, the market can move sharply. For example, if US Non-Farm Payrolls come in much higher than expected, the USD often strengthens against the BND and other currencies. Brunei traders should set alerts for high-impact events and avoid opening new positions 30 minutes before and after the release unless they have a solid news trading strategy.
Time Zone Considerations for Brunei
Brunei Darussalam uses Brunei Darussalam Time (BNT, UTC+8). Most US economic data is released at 8:30 AM Eastern Time, which is 8:30 PM BNT. European events occur during early morning BNT. Plan your trading sessions accordingly. Many economic calendars allow you to change the time zone to BNT, so you don't have to manually convert times. This is critical for Brunei traders who need to know exactly when to be at their screens.
Using the Calendar with Your Trading Strategy
You can use the economic calendar for both fundamental and technical analysis. If you are a swing trader, avoid holding positions through high-impact events unless you have a stop-loss in place. Scalpers may choose to trade the volatility immediately after a release. Always check the calendar before placing any trade—even technical setups can fail during news events. Brunei traders should also watch for overlapping events, such as a US CPI release coinciding with an OPEC meeting, which can cause extreme volatility.