How to Use an Economic Calendar
Step 1: Choose a Reliable Economic Calendar
Start with a trusted source like Forex Factory, Investing.com, or the official RBA calendar. These platforms allow you to filter by country (Australia), impact level (high, medium, low), and time zone. For Australian traders, setting the time zone to AEST (UTC+10) or AEDT (UTC+11) is critical so events appear in your local time.
Step 2: Filter for Australian Events
Focus on events that directly affect the Australian dollar: RBA cash rate decision, monthly CPI indicator, employment change, retail sales, and trade balance. These are high-impact releases that cause significant volatility in AUD pairs like AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, and EUR/AUD. Ignore low-impact events to avoid noise.
Step 3: Understand the Data
Each event shows a previous value, forecast, and actual result. The market moves based on the difference between actual and forecast. For example, if the Australian CPI comes in higher than expected, the AUD typically strengthens because it increases the chance of an RBA rate hike. Always compare the actual to the forecast, not the previous.
Step 4: Plan Your Trades
Before a high-impact release, decide whether to trade the breakout or avoid the market. Many experienced Australian traders use a straddle strategy: place pending buy and sell orders 10-20 pips above and below the current price. Others prefer to wait 15 minutes after the release for the initial spike to settle. Always set stop-losses to manage risk, especially under ASIC's leverage limits.
Step 5: Review and Adjust
After the event, compare the actual result to your analysis. Did the market react as expected? Keep a journal of your trades around economic releases. Over time, you will learn how specific Australian events affect AUD pairs, improving your accuracy.