How to Do Fundamental Analysis in Forex
Understanding the Core of Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is about understanding the economic health of countries. When a country's economy strengthens, its currency typically appreciates. For example, if the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the USD often strengthens against other currencies. As a North Macedonia trader, you need to watch key indicators from the US, Eurozone, and local economy.
Key Economic Indicators to Track
Focus on these indicators: Interest rates (central bank decisions), GDP growth, employment data (Non-Farm Payrolls), inflation (CPI, PPI), trade balance, and retail sales. For North Macedonia-specific context, monitor reports from the National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia and the State Statistical Office. For instance, a higher-than-expected inflation reading in the Eurozone could weaken the euro against the USD, affecting your EUR/USD trades.
Using an Economic Calendar
An economic calendar is your best tool. Use free resources like Forex Factory or Investing.com. Filter for high-impact events like Non-Farm Payrolls (first Friday of each month) and Federal Reserve meetings (eight times a year). Set alarms for release times in your local timezone (CET). For example, if US CPI data is released at 14:30 CET, you can prepare your trade setup beforehand.
Interpreting News Events
News events can cause sudden volatility. For instance, if the Federal Reserve announces a surprise rate cut, the USD may drop sharply. As a North Macedonia trader, you can trade this by shorting USD/JPY or buying EUR/USD. Always check the consensus forecast and compare it with the actual release. A large deviation often leads to strong price movements. Use stop-loss orders to manage risk during news spikes.