How to Do Fundamental Analysis in Forex
Understanding the Core of Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis focuses on the 'why' behind price movements. Instead of just looking at charts, you evaluate economic indicators, interest rates, and geopolitical news. For Mongolia traders, the most relevant indicators include US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and Federal Reserve statements. These directly affect the USD, which is the base currency in most forex pairs you trade.
Key Economic Indicators to Watch
Start by tracking these indicators on a forex calendar set to Ulaanbaatar time (UTC+8). NFP, released on the first Friday of each month, can cause USD volatility. CPI measures inflation and influences Fed rate decisions. GDP shows economic health. Also monitor Mongolia-specific data: mining production reports, trade balance with China, and the Bank of Mongolia's policy rate. A rise in copper prices often strengthens MNT, while a slowdown in China weakens it.
How to Apply Fundamental Analysis to Your Trades
When a major news event is expected, check the consensus forecast. If the actual result is better than expected, the USD may strengthen. For example, if US NFP comes in higher than forecast, USD pairs like EUR/USD may drop. Conversely, weak data can weaken the USD. As a Mongolia trader, also consider local events: if Mongolia's central bank raises rates to fight inflation, MNT may strengthen against USD. Always use a demo account first to practice reacting to news.