How to Do Fundamental Analysis in Forex
What is Fundamental Analysis?
Fundamental analysis examines the underlying forces that drive a country’s economy. In forex, you’re comparing two economies—for example, the US and Jordan—to decide if a currency will strengthen or weaken. Key factors include interest rates, inflation, employment data, GDP growth, and geopolitical stability.
Key Economic Indicators for Jordan Traders
As a Jordan trader trading USD pairs, focus on US indicators: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), Consumer Price Index (CPI), and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. Locally, monitor the Central Bank of Jordan’s monetary policy, Jordan’s inflation rate, and trade balance. Oil prices are critical because Jordan imports oil, so rising oil prices can weaken the dinar.
How to Analyze Central Bank Policies
The US Federal Reserve and Central Bank of Jordan both set interest rates. Higher rates attract foreign investment, strengthening the currency. When the Fed raises rates, USD often strengthens. When the Central Bank of Jordan adjusts rates, it affects the dinar. Always check their meeting calendars and read their statements for forward guidance.
Using an Economic Calendar
Use a free economic calendar (e.g., Forex Factory) and filter by high-impact events. Set alerts for US data releases and Jordan-specific events. Trade during London or New York sessions for best liquidity. Remember that Jordan is UTC+3, so US data releases occur in the evening local time.
Practical Example for Jordan
Suppose the US CPI comes out higher than expected. This suggests the Fed may raise rates, strengthening USD. If you’re trading EUR/USD, you might sell the pair. If Jordan’s inflation rises, the Central Bank of Jordan might hike rates, supporting the dinar. Combine this with technical analysis for entry points.