How to Do Fundamental Analysis in Forex
Understanding Fundamental Analysis for Eritrea Traders
Fundamental analysis focuses on the economic health of countries. As an Eritrea trader, you will primarily analyze the US economy because your account is in USD. Key indicators include GDP growth rates, employment data (like Non-Farm Payrolls), inflation (CPI), and central bank interest rate decisions. For example, if the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the USD typically strengthens against other currencies. You can trade this by going long on USD/JPY or short on EUR/USD.
Step 1: Build an Economic Calendar
Use free tools like ForexFactory or Investing.com to track high-impact events. Focus on US releases: FOMC meetings, ISM manufacturing PMI, and retail sales. For Eritrea, schedule your trading around these events—note that time zones may mean releases happen late evening or early morning. Set alerts on your phone to avoid missing key data.
Step 2: Analyze Interest Rate Differentials
Interest rates are the biggest driver of forex moves. Compare the US Federal Reserve rate with other major central banks. For instance, if the Fed keeps rates high while the ECB holds steady, the USD may appreciate. Use this to decide which currency to buy or sell. Eritrea traders can access this data via broker research sections or central bank websites.
Step 3: Monitor Geopolitical Events
Global events affect risk sentiment. For example, tensions in the Middle East can push traders to safe-haven currencies like USD or JPY. As an Eritrea trader, you should also monitor any local news that might affect capital flows, such as changes in diaspora remittance policies—since remittances impact USD availability in the country.
Step 4: Combine with Technical Analysis
While fundamental analysis tells you the direction, technical analysis helps with entry and exit points. For example, if a strong US jobs report suggests USD strength, wait for a pullback to a support level before buying. This combination reduces risk and improves accuracy for Eritrea traders with limited capital.