How to Do Fundamental Analysis in Forex
Understanding Key Economic Indicators for Australia
Start with the RBA cash rate decision, which directly impacts AUD value. Track the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI), employment change, GDP growth, and retail sales. Australia's economy is commodity-driven, so monitor iron ore, coal, and gold prices. Also watch Chinese economic data, as China is Australia's largest trading partner. Use an economic calendar (like Forex Factory or Investing.com) set to Australian time (AEST/AEDT).
Analyzing Central Bank Policy
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meets 11 times per year. Read the monetary policy statement and watch the press conference for hawkish or dovish language. Compare RBA policy with other central banks like the Fed or ECB. For example, if the RBA is hawkish (raising rates) while the Fed is dovish, AUD/USD may rally.
Using News and Data Releases
Trade around high-impact news events like the RBA decision, US non-farm payrolls, and Australian employment data. Avoid trading 30 minutes before and after major releases unless you have a strategy. Use pending orders with stop-losses to manage volatility. Many ASIC-regulated brokers offer economic calendars and news feeds directly on their platforms.
Combining Fundamentals with Technicals
Use fundamental analysis to determine the overall trend direction, then use technical analysis for entry and exit points. For example, if RBA is expected to raise rates, look for long positions on AUD/USD on pullbacks to support levels. This combination increases your probability of success.