How to Do Fundamental Analysis in Forex
What Is Fundamental Analysis in Forex?
Fundamental analysis is the method of evaluating a currency’s intrinsic value by examining economic indicators, interest rates, employment data, and geopolitical stability. Unlike technical analysis, which looks at charts, fundamental analysis focuses on the ‘why’ behind price movements. For Albania traders, this is crucial because the lek (ALL) is influenced by the eurozone economy and local policies from the Bank of Albania.
Key Economic Indicators for Albania Traders
When trading forex from Albania, you must track these indicators: the Bank of Albania base rate (currently at 3.0% as of 2026), eurozone inflation (CPI), US non-farm payrolls, and GDP growth for both the EU and US. For example, if the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the USD often strengthens against the ALL. Use free resources like ForexFactory or Investing.com with filters for Albanian time (CET).
How to Analyze Central Bank Decisions
The Bank of Albania’s monetary policy decisions directly affect the lek. If the bank hikes rates, the ALL may strengthen. Similarly, the European Central Bank (ECB) and US Federal Reserve decisions impact EUR/USD, the most traded pair by Albanians. Follow press conferences and read monetary policy statements. A hawkish tone (tightening) usually boosts the currency.
Geopolitical Factors for Albania
Albania’s economy is influenced by EU integration talks, tourism revenue, and remittances from the diaspora. Political stability and EU funding also affect the lek. For example, positive EU progress reports can strengthen the ALL against the USD. Stay updated via local news like Albanian Daily News or international sources like Reuters.
Using an Economic Calendar
Download an economic calendar app (e.g., Myfxbook) and set it to Albanian time (CET/CEST). Filter for high-impact events like US CPI, ECB rate decisions, and Bank of Albania meetings. When a high-impact event is due, avoid trading 30 minutes before and after to prevent slippage. Use USDT for fast deposits if you need to enter a trade quickly.
Practical Example for Albania Traders
Imagine the US releases higher-than-expected inflation data. This increases the likelihood of a Fed rate hike, strengthening the USD. As an Albania trader, you might sell EUR/USD (expecting euro to weaken) or buy USD/ALL. Deposit via Skrill for instant execution. Always check the ALL correlation—if the euro weakens, the lek may also weaken since Albania pegs informally to the euro.